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Cruz leaps to top of pack in Iowa

<p>Ted Cruz has opened up a 10-point lead over Donald Trump in Iowa, according to <a href=”http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2015/12/12/big-shakeup-iowa-poll-cruz-soars-lead/77199800/” target=”_blank”>an influential poll</a> of likely Republican caucus-goers.</p><p>In the Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics poll out Saturday evening, Cruz took 31 percent of Republicans polled, with Trump at 21, Ben Carson at 13, Marco Rubio at 10, and the rest polling at 3 percent or below. </p><p>Cruz’s support in Iowa has more than tripled over the past two months. His rise comes only days after a Monmouth University also had the Texas senator in <a href=”http://www.politico.com/story/2015/12/iowa-poll-ted-cruz-monmouth-university-216491″ target=”_blank”>first place in Iowa</a>, earning 24 percent among those Republicans polled. </p><p>“Big shakeup,” J. Ann Selzer, the pollster who conducts the Iowa Poll for the Register and Bloomberg Politics, told the Register. “This is a sudden move into a commanding position for Cruz.”</p><p>Trump, apparently expecting a bump in Cruz’s numbers, tweeted minutes before the poll was released. But rather than focusing on Cruz’s expected lead in the Register poll, the national Republican frontrunner cited a different Iowa poll that still has him on top.</p><p>“New CNN Iowa poll — Trump 33, Cruz 20. Everyone else way down! Don’t trust Des Moines Register poll- biased towards Trump!”</p><p>In the last Iowa poll, released on Oct. 23, Carson had opened up <a href=”http://www.politico.com/story/2015/10/poll-ben-carson-leads-donald-trump-iowa-215099″ target=”_blank”>a nine-point lead</a> over Trump. Carson led all candidates with the support of 28 percent of likely Republican caucus goers, with Trump at 19 percent. Cruz came in third with 10 percent. </p><p>The poll included 400 registered Republican voters and 404 Democratic voters in Iowa who were interviewed over the phone; it was conducted Dec. 7-10. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percentage points. The Iowa Poll, conducted by Selzer &amp; Company for the <i>Register</i> and Bloomberg Politics, is conducted every other month.</p><p><iframe src=”http://static.politico.com/16/70/668be53d4423837a7580b0b7ed13/293112953-dmr-2130-methodology-saturday-dec-12.pdf” width=”605px” height=”783px”></iframe></p><br>

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